VI-MR-2411 · EPC contractor · Executing
Deccan Metro Rail CorporationCentral–State JVPune, MaharashtraPM Anil Rao · Finance Meera Kulkarni
Contract 1 Nov 2024 – 31 Oct 2027 · 45 days from submission of each RA bill · retention 5%
Profitable on paper, but this project has consumed ₹9.85 Cr of cash: ₹30.54 Cr of its earnings are still in unbilled work, bills and retention.
Expected profit at completion, what borrowing costs it, and how that changes if payments slip. Realised, forecast and illustrative amounts are kept apart.
Profit bridge — financing lens
= gross profit to date ₹15.73 Cr + remaining work ₹98.98 Cr × planned 11% margin
₹6.1 L of it because collections arrive after their due dates
Opportunity lens Alternative lens
Return forgone at 12% on amounts collected after their due dates: ₹0 to date + ₹33.5 L forecast. Profit on this lens: ₹26.29 Cr (10.9%). It replaces — never adds to — the borrowing view.
The baseline margin already includes direct costs (materials, subcontract, site payroll, equipment). It excludes financing, head-office overheads and company term-loan interest, so the deductions above are not double counted. Retention is timing, not cost.
Profit after financing if collections slip further
| Further delay | Borrowing interest | Margin after | Opportunity cost | Margin after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +30 days | ₹3.7 L | 10.91% | ₹29.7 L | 10.74% |
| +60 days | ₹5.6 L | 10.91% | ₹59.3 L | 10.62% |
| +90 days | ₹5.6 L | 10.91% | ₹89.0 L | 10.49% |
Borrowing attributable to this project
No contractual or verified legal basis for late-payment interest is recorded for this contract, so none is assumed.
Illustrative losses — editable assumptions Illustrative
Expected collections vs this project's payments, to 31 Mar 2027 (FY end) — in ₹34.79 Cr, out ₹22.04 Cr.
3 open — what stands between work done and cash.
Variation VO-11 (foot-over-bridge at Station 4) awaiting approval
Work instructed on site in August; ₹2.6 Cr cannot be billed until the variation order is approved by the Board.
Owner Anil Rao · since 20 Aug (42 days)
Every bill for this contract — contractual due dates and our estimated collection dates side by side.
| Bill | Stage | Work value | Outstanding | Collection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RA-01 to RA-16Settled bills (history roll-up) | Collected | ₹118.40 Cr | — | ₹112.48 Cr by 2 Aug |
| RA-17Running account bill 17 — Station 3 superstructure | Approved | ₹15.40 Cr | ₹14.63 Cr | 20 Nov est. |
| JM-18Aug–Sep work — joint measurement done, awaiting certification | Awaiting cert. | ₹9.22 Cr | ₹9.22 Cr | 5 Jan est. |
| Oct 2026 workPlanned bill for Oct 2026 work | Planned | ₹6.00 Cr | — | 26 Feb est. |
| Nov 2026 workPlanned bill for Nov 2026 work | Planned | ₹6.00 Cr | — | 28 Mar est. |
| Dec 2026 workPlanned bill for Dec 2026 work | Planned | ₹6.00 Cr | — | 28 Apr est. |
| Jan 2027 workPlanned bill for Jan 2027 work | Planned | ₹6.00 Cr | — | 29 May est. |
| Feb 2027 workPlanned bill for Feb 2027 work | Planned | ₹6.00 Cr | — | 26 Jun est. |
| Mar 2027 workPlanned bill for Mar 2027 work | Planned | ₹6.00 Cr | — | 27 Jul est. |
| RetentionReleased after completion and the 12-month defect liability period | Retention | ₹6.69 Cr | ₹6.69 Cr | 15 Dec est. |
1 of 5 complete
Stations 1–2 superstructure
22 Apr · 22d late
Done
Station 3 roof & concourse
plan 31 Oct
In progress
Stations 4–6 platform slabs
plan 31 Jan
Upcoming
Architectural finishing, all stations
plan 30 Jun
Upcoming
Handover to systems contractor
plan 31 Aug
Upcoming
₹22.04 Cr due to 31 Mar 2027 (FY end) on this project